CharizardBase · #4/102 · Rare Holo · 1999
“Spits fire that is hot enough to melt boulders. Known to unintentionally cause forest fires.”— art by Mitsuhiro Arita
The Hoshino Verdict
What this card’s market is actually doing — scored, stated and kept current.
Hoshino recorded 616 confirmed sales of this card in the last 12 months across 8 venues in North America, Europe, Japan, Southeast Asia and Taiwan. The market price is up 88% over the year, up 52% over 90 days and up 6% over 30 days. PSA has graded 102,640 copies of it, 489 of them Gem Mint 10 — a 0.5% gem rate (CGC 3,376, BGS 8,912 further). The most recent sale we hold is from today.
Why is it expensive? It prices in the top 1% of the catalogue because only 489 copies have ever reached PSA 10 of the 102,640 PSA has graded, it is a rare holo from Base (1999), buyers for it turn up in 5 regions, not one market and the market has moved up 88% over the last year on 616 recorded sales.
Verdict recomputed 13m ago · it changes as the market does.
Charizard is card 4 of 102 in Base, released in 1999 as part of the Base series. It is a Rare Holo card, illustrated by Mitsuhiro Arita.
PSA reports 102,640 graded copies, 489 of them Gem Mint 10 (CGC 3,376, BGS 8,912 further). We hold 357 confirmed sales on record for this card across 10 venues in 5 regions — every price on this page traces back to them.
Descriptive market data, not investment advice. The Hoshino Score measures how deep, liquid, widely-traded, dear and scarce this card’s market is from sales and population records we hold. It is not a forecast, not a recommendation, and not a rating of this card as an investment.
Price by grade
What each grade’s real sales say — median of what actually sold.
Each grade is priced on the median of its own real sales — never averaged across grades, and never across printings. A 1st Edition, Shadowless or No Rarity copy is a different market from the ordinary print, so it gets its own row; where a grade holds sales of more than one printing and we cannot tell which copy sold, it is shown without a price — we abstain rather than publish the blend.
| Tier | Price | Confidence | Liquidity | Basis | Obs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw (ungraded) | $333 | High4 of 5 confidence checks passed | 116 in 90d recorded | 300 sales · last today | 300 |
| BGS 2 | — | — | 1 in 90d | 1 sale · single sale · pop 29 | 1 |
| BGS 4 | — | — | none in 90d | 1 sale · single sale · pop 195 | 1 |
| BGS 4.5 | — | — | 1 in 90d recorded | 1 sale · single sale · pop 185 | 1 |
| BGS 8 | $525 | Thin2 of 5 confidence checks passed | none in 90d | 2 sales · last 4mo ago · pop 1537 | 2 |
| BGS 8.5 | $1,254 | Thin3 of 5 confidence checks passed | 2 in 90d recorded | 2 sales · last 26d ago · pop 2251 | 2 |
| BGS 9 | — | — | 1 in 90d | 1 sale · single sale · pop 1564 | 1 |
| CGC 4 | — | — | 1 in 90d | 1 sale · single sale · pop 530 | 1 |
| CGC 5 | — | — | 3 in 90d recorded | 8 sales · inverts ladder · pop 950 | 8 |
| CGC 6 | $400 | High4 of 5 confidence checks passed | 2 in 90d recorded | 7 sales · last recorded 1mo ago · pop 158 | 7 |
| CGC 6.5 | — | — | 1 in 90d recorded | 1 sale · single sale | 1 |
| CGC 7 | $550 | Thin4 of 5 confidence checks passed | 1 in 90d | 3 sales · last 2d ago · pop 122 | 3 |
| CGC 7.5 | $610 | Thin3 of 5 confidence checks passed | 3 in 90d recorded | 3 sales · last 27d ago | 3 |
| CGC 8 | $656 | Highest5 of 5 confidence checks passed | 6 in 90d | 16 sales · last 2d ago · pop 124 | 16 |
| CGC 8.5 | $1,087 | Thin3 of 5 confidence checks passed | 2 in 90d | 2 sales · last 12d ago | 2 |
| CGC 9 | $1,675 | High4 of 5 confidence checks passed | 5 in 90d | 5 sales · last 11d ago · pop 81 | 5 |
| CGC 9.5 | — | — | 1 in 90d | 1 sale · single sale · pop 143 | 1 |
| CGC 10 | — | — | none in 90d | 1 sale · single sale · pop 276 | 1 |
| PSA 1 | — | — | 5 in 90d recorded | 8 sales · inverts ladder · pop 4312 | 8 |
| PSA 2 | — | — | 1 in 90d recorded | 7 sales · inverts ladder · pop 3696 | 7 |
| PSA 3 | — | — | 5 in 90d recorded | 9 sales · inverts ladder · pop 5806 | 9 |
| PSA 4 | — | — | 7 in 90d recorded | 25 sales · inverts ladder · pop 10655 | 25 |
| PSA 5 | $380 | High4 of 5 confidence checks passed | 12 in 90d recorded | 42 sales · last 2d ago · pop 16739 | 42 |
| PSA 6 | $486 | High4 of 5 confidence checks passed | 18 in 90d recorded | 48 sales · last 2d ago · pop 18560 | 48 |
| PSA 7 | $648 | High4 of 5 confidence checks passed | 27 in 90d recorded | 59 sales · last 2d ago · pop 17538 | 59 |
| PSA 8 | $1,150 | High4 of 5 confidence checks passed | 22 in 90d recorded | 53 sales · last 5d ago · pop 16305 | 53 |
| PSA 9 | $2,350 | High4 of 5 confidence checks passed | 5 in 90d recorded | 19 sales · last 9d ago · ceiling $21,020 · 3 sales, unconfirmed · pop 8540 | 19 |
| PSA 10 | $12,500 | Thin3 of 5 confidence checks passed | 2 in 90d recorded | 3 sales · last 21d ago · pop 489 | 3 |
| SGC 5 | — | — | 1 in 90d recorded | 1 sale · single sale · pop 237 | 1 |
| SGC 6 | — | — | none in 90d | 1 sale · single sale · pop 358 | 1 |
| SGC 7 | — | — | 1 in 90d | 1 sale · single sale · pop 284 | 1 |
How confident are we in each of these prices?
There is no weighting and no hidden formula here. We ask five plain questions about the sales behind a price, and the rating is simply how many of them we can answer yes to. Every threshold is the one our pricing engine already uses to decide whether it trusts its own answer — none was invented for this rating. A grade we publish no price for gets no rating either: there would be nothing to rate.
- ✓Enough sales to have a middle — 197 confirmed sales at this exact grade (the observation count beside this rung also includes 95 rows reconstructed from a listing’s own lifecycle rather than a confirmed sale — those never count toward this check)
- ✓Those sales agree with each other — The middle half of them spread 50% around the median
- ✓The market traded it recently — Most recent sale today
- ✓More than one marketplace — Sales came from 8 different marketplaces
- ✗Dated by the venue, not by us — 50 of 197 came from venues that publish no sale date, so those dates are the day we recorded the sale — an upper bound on when it actually traded
- ✗Enough sales to have a middle — 2 confirmed sales at this exact grade — under the 5 our pricing engine treats as a settled sample
- ✓Those sales agree with each other — The middle half of them spread 5% around the median
- ✗The market traded it recently — Most recent sale 115 days ago — past the 45-day half-life at which our engine already halves a sale’s weight
- ✗More than one marketplace — Every sale came from the same marketplace, so this is one venue’s price rather than the market’s
- ✓Dated by the venue, not by us — Every sale carries a date its venue published
- ✗Enough sales to have a middle — 2 confirmed sales at this exact grade — under the 5 our pricing engine treats as a settled sample
- ✓Those sales agree with each other — The middle half of them spread 18% around the median
- ✓The market traded it recently — Most recent sale 26 days ago
- ✓More than one marketplace — Sales came from 2 different marketplaces
- ✗Dated by the venue, not by us — 1 of 2 came from venues that publish no sale date, so those dates are the day we recorded the sale — an upper bound on when it actually traded
- ✓Enough sales to have a middle — 7 confirmed sales at this exact grade
- ✓Those sales agree with each other — The middle half of them spread 18% around the median
- ✓The market traded it recently — Most recent sale 31 days ago
- ✓More than one marketplace — Sales came from 2 different marketplaces
- ✗Dated by the venue, not by us — 2 of 7 came from venues that publish no sale date, so those dates are the day we recorded the sale — an upper bound on when it actually traded
- ✗Enough sales to have a middle — 2 confirmed sales at this exact grade (the observation count beside this rung also includes 1 row reconstructed from a listing’s own lifecycle rather than a confirmed sale — those never count toward this check) — under the 5 our pricing engine treats as a settled sample
- ✓Those sales agree with each other — The middle half of them spread 7% around the median
- ✓The market traded it recently — Most recent sale 19 days ago
- ✓More than one marketplace — Sales came from 2 different marketplaces
- ✓Dated by the venue, not by us — Every sale carries a date its venue published
- ✗Enough sales to have a middle — 3 confirmed sales at this exact grade — under the 5 our pricing engine treats as a settled sample
- ✓Those sales agree with each other — The middle half of them spread 8% around the median
- ✓The market traded it recently — Most recent sale 27 days ago
- ✓More than one marketplace — Sales came from 2 different marketplaces
- ✗Dated by the venue, not by us — 1 of 3 came from venues that publish no sale date, so those dates are the day we recorded the sale — an upper bound on when it actually traded
- ✓Enough sales to have a middle — 15 confirmed sales at this exact grade (the observation count beside this rung also includes 1 row reconstructed from a listing’s own lifecycle rather than a confirmed sale — those never count toward this check)
- ✓Those sales agree with each other — The middle half of them spread 39% around the median
- ✓The market traded it recently — Most recent sale 9 days ago
- ✓More than one marketplace — Sales came from 2 different marketplaces
- ✓Dated by the venue, not by us — Every sale carries a date its venue published
- ✗Enough sales to have a middle — 2 confirmed sales at this exact grade — under the 5 our pricing engine treats as a settled sample
- ✓Those sales agree with each other — The middle half of them spread 3% around the median
- ✓The market traded it recently — Most recent sale 12 days ago
- ✗More than one marketplace — Every sale came from the same marketplace, so this is one venue’s price rather than the market’s
- ✓Dated by the venue, not by us — Every sale carries a date its venue published
- ✓Enough sales to have a middle — 5 confirmed sales at this exact grade
- ✓Those sales agree with each other — The middle half of them spread 10% around the median
- ✓The market traded it recently — Most recent sale 11 days ago
- ✗More than one marketplace — Every sale came from the same marketplace, so this is one venue’s price rather than the market’s
- ✓Dated by the venue, not by us — Every sale carries a date its venue published
- ✓Enough sales to have a middle — 38 confirmed sales at this exact grade (the observation count beside this rung also includes 4 rows reconstructed from a listing’s own lifecycle rather than a confirmed sale — those never count toward this check)
- ✓Those sales agree with each other — The middle half of them spread 18% around the median
- ✓The market traded it recently — Most recent sale 16 days ago
- ✓More than one marketplace — Sales came from 3 different marketplaces
- ✗Dated by the venue, not by us — 5 of 38 came from venues that publish no sale date, so those dates are the day we recorded the sale — an upper bound on when it actually traded
- ✓Enough sales to have a middle — 43 confirmed sales at this exact grade (the observation count beside this rung also includes 5 rows reconstructed from a listing’s own lifecycle rather than a confirmed sale — those never count toward this check)
- ✓Those sales agree with each other — The middle half of them spread 30% around the median
- ✓The market traded it recently — Most recent sale 6 days ago
- ✓More than one marketplace — Sales came from 3 different marketplaces
- ✗Dated by the venue, not by us — 5 of 43 came from venues that publish no sale date, so those dates are the day we recorded the sale — an upper bound on when it actually traded
- ✓Enough sales to have a middle — 57 confirmed sales at this exact grade (the observation count beside this rung also includes 2 rows reconstructed from a listing’s own lifecycle rather than a confirmed sale — those never count toward this check)
- ✓Those sales agree with each other — The middle half of them spread 40% around the median
- ✓The market traded it recently — Most recent sale 6 days ago
- ✓More than one marketplace — Sales came from 4 different marketplaces
- ✗Dated by the venue, not by us — 3 of 57 came from venues that publish no sale date, so those dates are the day we recorded the sale — an upper bound on when it actually traded
- ✓Enough sales to have a middle — 53 confirmed sales at this exact grade
- ✓Those sales agree with each other — The middle half of them spread 48% around the median
- ✓The market traded it recently — Most recent sale 5 days ago
- ✓More than one marketplace — Sales came from 5 different marketplaces
- ✗Dated by the venue, not by us — 6 of 53 came from venues that publish no sale date, so those dates are the day we recorded the sale — an upper bound on when it actually traded
- ✓Enough sales to have a middle — 19 confirmed sales at this exact grade
- ✓Those sales agree with each other — The middle half of them spread 42% around the median
- ✓The market traded it recently — Most recent sale 9 days ago
- ✓More than one marketplace — Sales came from 4 different marketplaces
- ✗Dated by the venue, not by us — 2 of 19 came from venues that publish no sale date, so those dates are the day we recorded the sale — an upper bound on when it actually traded
- ✗Enough sales to have a middle — 3 confirmed sales at this exact grade — under the 5 our pricing engine treats as a settled sample
- ✓Those sales agree with each other — The middle half of them spread 38% around the median
- ✓The market traded it recently — Most recent sale 21 days ago
- ✓More than one marketplace — Sales came from 3 different marketplaces
- ✗Dated by the venue, not by us — 1 of 3 came from venues that publish no sale date, so those dates are the day we recorded the sale — an upper bound on when it actually traded
Where a rung reads last recorded, its most recent sale came from a venue that publishes no sale date — Mercari Japan publishes none — so that date is the day we recorded the sale, an upper bound on when it sold. The price is real; the date is an observation and we will not dress it up as a timestamp.
Cross-market comparisons and arbitrage routes are computed within one grade — PSA 10 against PSA 10, raw against raw. A route is never built from two different grades.
The same card in a different holder
What the market pays for this card at the same grade in each grader’s slab — and, if you hold one, what cracking it would have to return to be worth the fee.
Each grader’s price below is the median of that grader’s own recorded sales of this card at this exact grade. Nothing is averaged across graders and nothing is interpolated from a neighbouring grade. Every price here is the same figure the price-by-grade table above publishes — a rung that table abstains on is abstained on here too, and every fee, freight and tax figure is a real published rate from our cost model.
CGC 8 vs PSA 8
CGC 7 vs PSA 7
SGC 7 vs PSA 7
Price trend
Median market price over time, plus the sale-by-sale receipts.
Each point is a real recorded sale at that grade, over the full time we hold. Grades trade at very different prices, so the trend is per grade — pick a grade above.
Daily snapshot medians · US market · raw bucket. — the broader raw market-price trend across the same period, alongside the graded sales above.
PSA 6 population has grown from 18,350 on 2026-08-13 to 18,659 on 2026-09-14 (+309) — real grading-population readings, not a price.
Recent sales
| Sold | Venue | Region | Grade | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 27h ago | 🇺🇸 eBay (US) via PriceCharting | North America | NM | $340 | view ↗ |
| 2026-09-18 27h ago | 🇺🇸 eBay (US) via PriceCharting | North America | NM | $200 | view ↗ |
| 2026-09-17 2d ago | 🇺🇸 eBay (US) via PokéPriceTracker | North America | PSA 3 | $300 | auction view ↗ |
| 2026-09-17 2d ago | 🇺🇸 eBay (US) via PriceCharting | North America | NM | $711 | view ↗ |
The 4 most recent — confirmed sales first, then estimates; distinct price points, identical re-ingested rows count once, never stacked. The full 381-point sale-by-sale history unlocks with Pro. Venue is the marketplace the sale actually cleared on — eBay, Goldin, ALT, Fanatics, SNKRDUNK and the rest — established from the sale’s own listing URL, its auction house, or the feed’s own declaration of the venue. A via tag names the data feed that delivered the record; the feed is never the venue. Where none of those establish a marketplace the row says venue not disclosed rather than naming one we cannot prove. Rows tagged guide are marketplace price-guide points (TCGplayer market / Cardmarket trend), not confirmed sales; rows tagged est. are inferred from a listing that left the market, not directly-recorded sales. Rows tagged recorded come from a venue that publishes no sale date — Mercari Japan publishes none — so the date shown is the day we recorded the sale, an upper bound on when it sold. The price is real either way; we do not invent a date.
We hold 113 sales of this card that are not allowed to price anything. Every figure on this page was computed with them removed. See what we set aside for this card, and why →
See the 30-day, 90-day and 1-year charts and every past sale on record — date, venue, region, grade and the price it actually fetched.
Buy from around the world
The lowest live ask on every platform we track — cheapest first.
The cheapest live ask in every region we track — real global pricing, not just the US.
See every listing we track and the net spread — cheapest ask first, the difference after ~13% marketplace + payment fees.
Asks are what sellers want; the price above is what the market actually clears at. Pro shows both sides plus the spread net of fees.
Sold around the world
Daily market prices by region and platform — what this card actually changes hands for worldwide, kept apart from seller asks.
Markets are too thin or divergent to quote a reliable cross-border spread on this card yet.
| Platform | Sales | Median | Low – High | Last sold |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🌐 PokéPriceTracker | 98 | $380 | $175 – $771 | $771 5d ago |
| 🇺🇸 eBay (US) | 37 | $315 | $175 – $600 | $380 12d ago recorded |
| 🌐 PriceCharting | 33 | $301 | $151 – $899 | $340 27h ago |
| 🇸🇪 Tradera | 15 | $293 | $174 – $420 | 3,200 SEK · $327 2d ago |
| 🇬🇧 eBay UK | 7 | $432 | $191 – $583 | £162 · $206 31d ago recorded |
| 🇦🇺 eBay AU | 4 | $207 | $184 – $390 | A$600 · $390 31d ago recorded |
| 🇨🇦 eBay CA | 1 | $183 | $183 – $183 | C$250 · $183 31d ago recorded |
| 🇯🇵 Mercari Japan | 1 | $711 | $711 – $711 | ¥111,111 · $711 35d ago recorded |
Daily market prices across 8 platforms in North America, Europe, Other, Japan — counts are distinct sales, never duplicated listings. Guide rows (TCGplayer market / Cardmarket trend) are labelled as estimates, not sales. A recorded tag means that venue publishes no sale date, so its date is the day we saw the listing sold.
Population reports
How many graded copies exist — scarcity in plain numbers.
PSA 102,640 graded copies
| Grade | Population |
|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 489 |
| PSA 9 | 8,540 |
| PSA 8 | 16,305 |
| PSA 7 | 17,538 |
| PSA 6 | 18,560 |
| PSA 5 | 16,739 |
| PSA 4 | 10,655 |
| PSA 3 | 5,806 |
| PSA 2 | 3,696 |
| PSA 1 | 4,312 |
CGC 3,376 graded copies
| Grade | Population |
|---|---|
| CGC 10 | 276 |
| CGC 9.5 | 143 |
| CGC 9 | 81 |
| CGC 8 | 124 |
| CGC 7 | 122 |
| CGC 6 | 158 |
| CGC 5 | 950 |
| CGC 4 | 530 |
| CGC 3 | 618 |
| CGC 2 | 237 |
| CGC 1 | 137 |
BGS 8,912 graded copies
| Grade | Population |
|---|---|
| BGS 10 | 1 |
| BGS 9.5 | 249 |
| BGS 9 | 1,564 |
| BGS 8.5 | 2,251 |
| BGS 8 | 1,537 |
| BGS 7.5 | 857 |
| BGS 7 | 640 |
| BGS 6.5 | 419 |
| BGS 6 | 306 |
| BGS 5.5 | 206 |
| BGS 5 | 183 |
| BGS 4.5 | 185 |
| BGS 4 | 195 |
| BGS 3.5 | 111 |
| BGS 3 | 89 |
| BGS 2.5 | 64 |
| BGS 2 | 29 |
| BGS 1.5 | 20 |
| BGS 1 | 6 |
BGS BL 1 graded copy
| Grade | Population |
|---|---|
| BGS BL 10 | 1 |
SGC 1,573 graded copies
| Grade | Population |
|---|---|
| SGC 10 | 6 |
| SGC 9.5 | 10 |
| SGC 9 | 43 |
| SGC 8 | 195 |
| SGC 7 | 284 |
| SGC 6 | 358 |
| SGC 5 | 237 |
| SGC 4 | 203 |
| SGC 3 | 120 |
| SGC 2 | 71 |
| SGC 1 | 46 |
Should you grade it?
Expected grade × daily market prices − grading fees = net value, per grader.
See the full grader ladder — chance of a 10, what a 10 and a 9 actually fetch, and the fee, expected value and ROI on every route.
Should you grade it? Every grader route, your cost basis, and Japan vs the West → · or scan a photo of your copy
Which printing?
One card number, several print runs — they trade at very different prices. Here is the market price of each printing we track.
These are daily market prices per printing (where listings sit), which can run higher than the market price shown at the top of this page. A print run is a distinct printing (Unlimited, Shadowless, 1st Edition, No Rarity), not a grade — each has its own series and never blends into the others.
Long-term outlook
Transparent scenario model from real solds, supply and demand — bands widen with time.
See where this card is projected to be in 10 years — scenario bands, every horizon, and the long-term verdict.
Scenario projection based on demand/supply trends and known catalysts. Not investment advice and not a guarantee of future prices.
Frequently asked questions
Answered from the data on this page — nothing here is written by hand.
How much is Charizard (Base #4) worth?
Charizard (Base #4) is worth $315 based on daily market prices (288 distinct sales) on Hoshino. Typical range: $160–$600 (raw/ungraded).
Where can I buy or sell Charizard (Base #4)?
You can find Charizard (Base #4) on Hoshino, with live listings on Ruten (TW), eBay (US), eBay CA, eBay AU and recent solds from PokéPriceTracker, eBay (US), PriceCharting, Tradera. Each listing links directly to the seller’s page.
What is the graded value of Charizard (Base #4)?
Graded values for Charizard (Base #4): BGS 8 — $525; BGS 8.5 — $1,254; CGC 6 — $400; CGC 7 — $550; CGC 7.5 — $610; CGC 8 — $656; CGC 8.5 — $1,087; CGC 9 — $1,675; PSA 5 — $380; PSA 6 — $486; PSA 7 — $648; PSA 8 — $1,150; PSA 9 — $2,350; PSA 10 — $12,500. Each tier is priced on its own sales — Hoshino never mixes a PSA 10 with a raw copy.
Is Charizard (Base #4) going up or down in price?
Charizard (Base #4) is trending up in price. 30-day change: +6%. 1-year change: +88%. Based on live market data tracked on Hoshino.
How many Charizard (Base #4) have been graded?
Across PSA and CGC and BGS and BGS BL and SGC, 116,502 copies of Charizard (Base #4) have been professionally graded, based on population reports tracked on Hoshino.
What is the PSA 10 population of Charizard (Base #4)?
PSA has graded 489 copies of Charizard (Base #4) as Gem Mint 10, according to population reports tracked on Hoshino.
📛 Get the price badge
Embeddable price badges for Charizard — pick the look, copy, paste. Live global data no US-only rival can show.
Drop any of these into a listing, blog or forum signature. Each shows the live number with its honest basis — real market price with sale-count provenance, or a clearly labelled guide estimate — and updates as new sales land (cached 1 hour). Add ?theme=light for light backgrounds.
Track Charizard in your portfolio — free
Live value across every market we track, grade-EV on your exact copy, and alerts the second the price moves.