CharizardBase Set 2 · #4/130 · Rare Holo · 2000
“Spits fire that is hot enough to melt boulders. Known to unintentionally cause forest fires.”— art by Mitsuhiro Arita
The Hoshino Verdict
What this card’s market is actually doing — scored, stated and kept current.
Hoshino recorded 260 confirmed sales of this card in the last 12 months across 3 venues in Southeast Asia, North America and Europe. The market price is up 71% over the year, up 17% over 90 days and up 7% over 30 days. PSA has graded 24,128 copies of it, 70 of them Gem Mint 10 — a 0.3% gem rate (CGC 4,023, BGS 972 further). The most recent sale we hold is 31 days old.
Why is it expensive? It prices in the top 1% of the catalogue because only 70 copies have ever reached PSA 10 of the 24,128 PSA has graded, it is a rare holo from Base Set 2 (2000), buyers for it turn up in 3 regions, not one market and the market has moved up 71% over the last year on 260 recorded sales.
Verdict recomputed 14m ago · it changes as the market does.
Charizard is card 4 of 130 in Base Set 2, released in 2000 as part of the Base series. It is a Rare Holo card, illustrated by Mitsuhiro Arita.
PSA reports 24,128 graded copies, 70 of them Gem Mint 10 (CGC 4,023, BGS 972 further). We hold 261 confirmed sales on record for this card across 8 venues in 3 regions — every price on this page traces back to them.
Descriptive market data, not investment advice. The Hoshino Score measures how deep, liquid, widely-traded, dear and scarce this card’s market is from sales and population records we hold. It is not a forecast, not a recommendation, and not a rating of this card as an investment.
Price by grade
What each grade’s real sales say — median of what actually sold.
Each grade is priced on the median of its own real sales — never averaged across grades, and never across printings. A 1st Edition, Shadowless or No Rarity copy is a different market from the ordinary print, so it gets its own row; where a grade holds sales of more than one printing and we cannot tell which copy sold, it is shown without a price — we abstain rather than publish the blend.
| Tier | Price | Confidence | Liquidity | Basis | Obs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Raw (ungraded) | $273 | High4 of 5 confidence checks passed | 39 in 90d recorded | 106 sales · last recorded 1mo ago | 106 |
| BGS 8 | $514 | Thin2 of 5 confidence checks passed | none in 90d | 2 sales · last 4mo ago · pop 317 | 2 |
| BGS 8.5 | — | — | 1 in 90d recorded | 1 sale · single sale | 1 |
| BGS 9 | $1,673 | Thin2 of 5 confidence checks passed | none in 90d | 2 sales · last 3mo ago · pop 326 | 2 |
| CGC 1 | — | — | none in 90d | 1 sale · single sale · pop 15 | 1 |
| CGC 2 | — | — | 1 in 90d recorded | 2 sales · inverts ladder · pop 66 | 2 |
| CGC 4 | — | — | none in 90d | 1 sale · single sale · pop 316 | 1 |
| CGC 5 | $300 | Thin2 of 5 confidence checks passed | none in 90d | 3 sales · last 5mo ago · pop 513 | 3 |
| CGC 6 | — | — | 1 in 90d | 6 sales · inverts ladder · pop 593 | 6 |
| CGC 7 | — | — | none in 90d | 1 sale · single sale · pop 831 | 1 |
| CGC 8 | $540 | Thin2 of 5 confidence checks passed | none in 90d | 3 sales · last 4mo ago · pop 1153 | 3 |
| CGC 9 | $1,150 | Thin3 of 5 confidence checks passed | 2 in 90d recorded | 3 sales · last recorded 1mo ago · pop 286 | 3 |
| PSA 1 | — | — | none in 90d | 10 sales · inverts ladder · pop 1242 | 10 |
| PSA 2 | — | — | 1 in 90d recorded | 5 sales · inverts ladder · pop 791 | 5 |
| PSA 3 | $290 | Moderate3 of 5 confidence checks passed | none in 90d | 6 sales · last 3mo ago · pop 1252 | 6 |
| PSA 4 | — | — | 3 in 90d recorded | 14 sales · inverts ladder · pop 2124 | 14 |
| PSA 5 | $320 | High4 of 5 confidence checks passed | 4 in 90d recorded | 22 sales · last recorded 1mo ago · ceiling $750 · 1 sale, unconfirmed · pop 3972 | 22 |
| PSA 6 | $342 | High4 of 5 confidence checks passed | 5 in 90d recorded | 33 sales · last recorded 1mo ago · ceiling $850 · 1 sale, unconfirmed · pop 4721 | 33 |
| PSA 7 | $425 | High4 of 5 confidence checks passed | 6 in 90d recorded | 28 sales · last recorded 1mo ago · ceiling $999 · 2 sales, unconfirmed · pop 4532 | 28 |
| PSA 8 | $678 | High4 of 5 confidence checks passed | 4 in 90d recorded | 22 sales · last recorded 1mo ago · ceiling $2,000 · 2 sales, unconfirmed · pop 4017 | 22 |
| PSA 9 | — | — | none in 90d | 1 sale · single sale · pop 1407 | 1 |
| PSA 10 | $2,972 | — | — | modeled est. est. from PSA 9 × 2.05 · pop 70 | |
| SGC 8 | — | — | none in 90d | 1 sale · single sale · pop 46 | 1 |
| TAG 6 | — | — | 1 in 90d recorded | 1 sale · single sale | 1 |
How confident are we in each of these prices?
There is no weighting and no hidden formula here. We ask five plain questions about the sales behind a price, and the rating is simply how many of them we can answer yes to. Every threshold is the one our pricing engine already uses to decide whether it trusts its own answer — none was invented for this rating. A grade we publish no price for gets no rating either: there would be nothing to rate.
- ✓Enough sales to have a middle — 93 confirmed sales at this exact grade (the observation count beside this rung also includes 2 rows reconstructed from a listing’s own lifecycle rather than a confirmed sale — those never count toward this check)
- ✓Those sales agree with each other — The middle half of them spread 43% around the median
- ✓The market traded it recently — Most recent sale 34 days ago
- ✓More than one marketplace — Sales came from 6 different marketplaces
- ✗Dated by the venue, not by us — 38 of 93 came from venues that publish no sale date, so those dates are the day we recorded the sale — an upper bound on when it actually traded
- ✗Enough sales to have a middle — 2 confirmed sales at this exact grade — under the 5 our pricing engine treats as a settled sample
- ✓Those sales agree with each other — The middle half of them spread 5% around the median
- ✗The market traded it recently — Most recent sale 133 days ago — past the 45-day half-life at which our engine already halves a sale’s weight
- ✗More than one marketplace — Every sale came from the same marketplace, so this is one venue’s price rather than the market’s
- ✓Dated by the venue, not by us — Every sale carries a date its venue published
- ✗Enough sales to have a middle — 2 confirmed sales at this exact grade — under the 5 our pricing engine treats as a settled sample
- ✓Those sales agree with each other — The middle half of them spread 25% around the median
- ✗The market traded it recently — Most recent sale 90 days ago — past the 45-day half-life at which our engine already halves a sale’s weight
- ✗More than one marketplace — Every sale came from the same marketplace, so this is one venue’s price rather than the market’s
- ✓Dated by the venue, not by us — Every sale carries a date its venue published
- ✗Enough sales to have a middle — 3 confirmed sales at this exact grade — under the 5 our pricing engine treats as a settled sample
- ✓Those sales agree with each other — The middle half of them spread 5% around the median
- ✗The market traded it recently — Most recent sale 164 days ago — past the 45-day half-life at which our engine already halves a sale’s weight
- ✗More than one marketplace — Every sale came from the same marketplace, so this is one venue’s price rather than the market’s
- ✓Dated by the venue, not by us — Every sale carries a date its venue published
- ✗Enough sales to have a middle — 3 confirmed sales at this exact grade — under the 5 our pricing engine treats as a settled sample
- ✓Those sales agree with each other — The middle half of them spread 11% around the median
- ✗The market traded it recently — Most recent sale 132 days ago — past the 45-day half-life at which our engine already halves a sale’s weight
- ✗More than one marketplace — Every sale came from the same marketplace, so this is one venue’s price rather than the market’s
- ✓Dated by the venue, not by us — Every sale carries a date its venue published
- ✗Enough sales to have a middle — 3 confirmed sales at this exact grade — under the 5 our pricing engine treats as a settled sample
- ✓Those sales agree with each other — The middle half of them spread 27% around the median
- ✓The market traded it recently — Most recent sale 34 days ago
- ✓More than one marketplace — Sales came from 2 different marketplaces
- ✗Dated by the venue, not by us — 2 of 3 came from venues that publish no sale date, so those dates are the day we recorded the sale — an upper bound on when it actually traded
- ✓Enough sales to have a middle — 6 confirmed sales at this exact grade
- ✓Those sales agree with each other — The middle half of them spread 31% around the median
- ✗The market traded it recently — Most recent sale 97 days ago — past the 45-day half-life at which our engine already halves a sale’s weight
- ✗More than one marketplace — Every sale came from the same marketplace, so this is one venue’s price rather than the market’s
- ✓Dated by the venue, not by us — Every sale carries a date its venue published
- ✓Enough sales to have a middle — 22 confirmed sales at this exact grade
- ✓Those sales agree with each other — The middle half of them spread 39% around the median
- ✓The market traded it recently — Most recent sale 34 days ago
- ✓More than one marketplace — Sales came from 2 different marketplaces
- ✗Dated by the venue, not by us — 2 of 22 came from venues that publish no sale date, so those dates are the day we recorded the sale — an upper bound on when it actually traded
- ✓Enough sales to have a middle — 33 confirmed sales at this exact grade
- ✓Those sales agree with each other — The middle half of them spread 23% around the median
- ✓The market traded it recently — Most recent sale 34 days ago
- ✓More than one marketplace — Sales came from 2 different marketplaces
- ✗Dated by the venue, not by us — 3 of 33 came from venues that publish no sale date, so those dates are the day we recorded the sale — an upper bound on when it actually traded
- ✓Enough sales to have a middle — 28 confirmed sales at this exact grade
- ✓Those sales agree with each other — The middle half of them spread 28% around the median
- ✓The market traded it recently — Most recent sale 34 days ago
- ✓More than one marketplace — Sales came from 3 different marketplaces
- ✗Dated by the venue, not by us — 5 of 28 came from venues that publish no sale date, so those dates are the day we recorded the sale — an upper bound on when it actually traded
- ✓Enough sales to have a middle — 22 confirmed sales at this exact grade
- ✓Those sales agree with each other — The middle half of them spread 17% around the median
- ✓The market traded it recently — Most recent sale 34 days ago
- ✓More than one marketplace — Sales came from 2 different marketplaces
- ✗Dated by the venue, not by us — 4 of 22 came from venues that publish no sale date, so those dates are the day we recorded the sale — an upper bound on when it actually traded
Where a rung reads last recorded, its most recent sale came from a venue that publishes no sale date — Mercari Japan publishes none — so that date is the day we recorded the sale, an upper bound on when it sold. The price is real; the date is an observation and we will not dress it up as a timestamp.
Cross-market comparisons and arbitrage routes are computed within one grade — PSA 10 against PSA 10, raw against raw. A route is never built from two different grades.
The same card in a different holder
What the market pays for this card at the same grade in each grader’s slab — and, if you hold one, what cracking it would have to return to be worth the fee.
Each grader’s price below is the median of that grader’s own recorded sales of this card at this exact grade. Nothing is averaged across graders and nothing is interpolated from a neighbouring grade. Every price here is the same figure the price-by-grade table above publishes — a rung that table abstains on is abstained on here too, and every fee, freight and tax figure is a real published rate from our cost model.
TAG 6 vs PSA 6
We can price a TAG slab because TAG slabs sell in public and we record those sales. We cannot tell you your chance of getting a 10 from TAG: that needs population data — how many of each grade TAG has issued for this card — and we hold none. TAG publishes no population report of the kind PSA, CGC and BGS do. So there is no “submit to TAG” route on this page, and we will not model one.
CGC 6 vs PSA 6
CGC 7 vs PSA 7
Price trend
Median market price over time, plus the sale-by-sale receipts.
Each point is a real recorded sale at that grade, over the full time we hold. Grades trade at very different prices, so the trend is per grade — pick a grade above.
Daily snapshot medians · US market · raw bucket. — the broader raw market-price trend across the same period, alongside the graded sales above.
Recent sales
| Sold | Venue | Region | Grade | Price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 34d ago recorded | 🇺🇸 eBay (US) | North America | NM | $230 | view ↗ |
| 2026-08-17 34d ago recorded | 🇺🇸 eBay (US) | North America | NM | $218 | view ↗ |
| 2026-08-17 34d ago recorded | 🇺🇸 eBay (US) | North America | NM | $335 | view ↗ |
| 2026-08-17 34d ago recorded | 🇺🇸 eBay (US) | North America | NM | $228 | view ↗ |
The 4 most recent — confirmed sales first, then estimates; distinct price points, identical re-ingested rows count once, never stacked. The full 285-point sale-by-sale history unlocks with Pro. Venue is the marketplace the sale actually cleared on — eBay, Goldin, ALT, Fanatics, SNKRDUNK and the rest — established from the sale’s own listing URL, its auction house, or the feed’s own declaration of the venue. A via tag names the data feed that delivered the record; the feed is never the venue. Where none of those establish a marketplace the row says venue not disclosed rather than naming one we cannot prove. Rows tagged guide are marketplace price-guide points (TCGplayer market / Cardmarket trend), not confirmed sales; rows tagged est. are inferred from a listing that left the market, not directly-recorded sales. Rows tagged recorded come from a venue that publishes no sale date — Mercari Japan publishes none — so the date shown is the day we recorded the sale, an upper bound on when it sold. The price is real either way; we do not invent a date.
We hold 18 sales of this card that are not allowed to price anything. Every figure on this page was computed with them removed. See what we set aside for this card, and why →
See the 30-day, 90-day and 1-year charts and every past sale on record — date, venue, region, grade and the price it actually fetched.
Buy from around the world
The lowest live ask on every platform we track — cheapest first.
The cheapest live ask in every region we track — real global pricing, not just the US.
See every listing we track and the net spread — cheapest ask first, the difference after ~13% marketplace + payment fees.
Asks are what sellers want; the price above is what the market actually clears at. Pro shows both sides plus the spread net of fees.
Sold around the world
Daily market prices by region and platform — what this card actually changes hands for worldwide, kept apart from seller asks.
| Platform | Sales | Median | Low – High | Last sold |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🌐 PokéPriceTracker | 53 | $300 | $95 – $550 | $465 3mo ago |
| 🇺🇸 eBay (US) | 35 | $230 | $108 – $450 | $230 34d ago recorded |
| 🇸🇪 Tradera | 2 | $147 | $147 – $276 | 2,693 SEK · $276 49d ago |
| 🇨🇦 eBay CA | 1 | $350 | $350 – $350 | C$480 · $350 34d ago recorded |
| 🇬🇧 eBay UK | 1 | $158 | $158 – $158 | £124.33 · $158 34d ago recorded |
| 🇪🇺 eBay (eurozone) | 1 | $335 | $335 – $335 | €310 · $335 34d ago recorded |
Daily market prices across 6 platforms in North America, Europe — counts are distinct sales, never duplicated listings. Guide rows (TCGplayer market / Cardmarket trend) are labelled as estimates, not sales. A recorded tag means that venue publishes no sale date, so its date is the day we saw the listing sold.
Population reports
How many graded copies exist, and how fast that number is moving — scarcity in plain numbers.
PSA 24,128 graded copies
| Grade | Population |
|---|---|
| PSA 10 | 70 |
| PSA 9 | 1,407 |
| PSA 8 | 4,017 |
| PSA 7 | 4,532 |
| PSA 6 | 4,721 |
| PSA 5 | 3,972 |
| PSA 4 | 2,124 |
| PSA 3 | 1,252 |
| PSA 2 | 791 |
| PSA 1 | 1,242 |
CGC 4,023 graded copies
| Grade | Population |
|---|---|
| CGC 10 | 83 |
| CGC 9.5 | 23 |
| CGC 9 | 286 |
| CGC 8 | 1,153 |
| CGC 7 | 831 |
| CGC 6 | 593 |
| CGC 5 | 513 |
| CGC 4 | 316 |
| CGC 3 | 144 |
| CGC 2 | 66 |
| CGC 1 | 15 |
BGS 972 graded copies
| Grade | Population |
|---|---|
| BGS 9.5 | 46 |
| BGS 9 | 326 |
| BGS 8 | 317 |
| BGS 7 | 108 |
| BGS 6 | 62 |
| BGS 5 | 36 |
| BGS 4 | 55 |
| BGS 3 | 15 |
| BGS 2 | 6 |
| BGS 1 | 1 |
BGS BL 1 graded copy
| Grade | Population |
|---|---|
| BGS BL 10 | 1 |
SGC 398 graded copies
| Grade | Population |
|---|---|
| SGC 9.5 | 6 |
| SGC 9 | 21 |
| SGC 8 | 46 |
| SGC 7 | 96 |
| SGC 6 | 80 |
| SGC 5 | 39 |
| SGC 4 | 40 |
| SGC 3 | 32 |
| SGC 2 | 25 |
| SGC 1 | 13 |
Population over time — No new copies were slabbed in any tier we can read cleanly in this window
| Tier | Trend | 2026-09-16 | 2026-09-19 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 6 | 4,721 | 4,721 | no change | |
| PSA 7 | 4,532 | 4,532 | no change | |
| PSA 8 | 4,017 | 4,017 | no change | |
| PSA 5 | 3,972 | 3,972 | no change | |
| PSA 4 | 2,124 | 2,124 | no change | |
| PSA 9 | 1,407 | 1,407 | no change | |
| PSA 3 | 1,252 | 1,252 | no change | |
| PSA 1 | 1,242 | 1,242 | no change |
Every point is a real population reading taken on the date shown — first reading 2026-09-16, latest 2026-09-19 (3 days). That is the whole window we hold for this card; it is not a one-year trend and we will not present it as one. A population can only grow — a card cannot be un-graded — so where a reading came back lower than the one before it, that is a partial crawl and the series carries the higher figure forward rather than drawing a fall that never happened.
Why this matters: scarcity is a flow, not a constant. A tier whose count is climbing is getting less scarce while its price chart says nothing at all — and a tier that has not moved in weeks is holding its scarcity. Nobody else publishes this per grade.
What grading this card would actually cost you
Every term in the sum, sourced — the slab’s real sale price, the marketplace’s published fee, the grader’s published rate.
Every graded row is that same sale, minus the same marketplace fee, minus the grader’s published fee, minus $12 of shipping both ways. The “vs raw” column is the only number that matters: what that outcome would leave you with over selling the card as it is now.
PSA · cheapest published service tier whose declared-value cap covers each outcome
| If it grades | Sells for | eBay fee | Grading | You net | vs raw | Of existing slabs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PSA 8 · 22 sales | $678 | −$90 | −$80PSA Regular · 35d | $495 | +$267 | 17% |
“Of existing slabs” is how PSA’s 24,128 graded copies of this card actually landed. It is the base rate for the population, not the odds for your copy — the copies people submit are not a random sample, and we have never seen the card in your hand.
CGC · no eligible service tier
Every CGC rung we can price on this card sits above the highest declared-value cap we hold a published CGC rate for ($1,000). We will not price a submission at a tier that would not accept the card, and we will not invent a rate for one we have not got — so there is no CGC figure on this card.
BGS · cheapest published service tier whose declared-value cap covers each outcome
| If it grades | Sells for | eBay fee | Grading | You net | vs raw | Of existing slabs |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BGS 9 · 2 sales | $1,673 | −$222 | −$80BGS Express · 10d | $1,359 | +$1,131 | 34% |
“Of existing slabs” is how BGS’s 972 graded copies of this card actually landed. It is the base rate for the population, not the odds for your copy — the copies people submit are not a random sample, and we have never seen the card in your hand.
What this cannot tell you. Which grade your copy would get. That depends on centring, edges, surface and corners on the card in your hand, and we have never seen it — so there is no single headline number here and no “worth it / not worth it” verdict. Each row is one outcome, priced from that tier’s own real sales; a tier we publish no price for stays blank rather than borrowing a figure from the grade next to it. Turnaround is the grader’s published business-day estimate, and the market can move inside it. Descriptive market arithmetic, not investment advice.
Should you grade it?
Expected grade × daily market prices − grading fees = net value, per grader.
See the full grader ladder — chance of a 10, what a 10 and a 9 actually fetch, and the fee, expected value and ROI on every route.
Should you grade it? Every grader route, your cost basis, and Japan vs the West → · or scan a photo of your copy
Who is looking at this card
Demand and supply signals that move before price does.
This is where the attention layer goes: how much YouTube activity this card is getting (demand) against how many copies are listed for sale right now (supply). Rising demand into falling supply is the setup that moves before the price does — the leading indicator this category does not have.
We hold no readings for this card, so there is no number here. The model is built (src/attention); the collector has not run against this database yet, and until it has, an attention score would be something we made up. A blank panel that says so is the honest version of this section.
Long-term outlook
Transparent scenario model from real solds, supply and demand — bands widen with time.
See where this card is projected to be in 10 years — scenario bands, every horizon, and the long-term verdict.
Scenario projection based on demand/supply trends and known catalysts. Not investment advice and not a guarantee of future prices.
What Charizard actually does
The printed card — its attacks, what they cost, what it is weak to, and whether it is still tournament legal.
As often as you like during your turn (before your attack), you may turn all Energy attached to Charizard into Fire Energy for the rest of the turn. This power can't be used if Charizard is Asleep, Confused, or Paralyzed.
Discard 2 Energy cards attached to Charizard in order to use this attack.
Spits fire that is hot enough to melt boulders. Known to unintentionally cause forest fires.
Card text, attacks and format legality come from the open card catalogues pokemontcg.io and TCGdex. They describe the card as printed; nothing here is a price, an estimate or anything Hoshino computed. A field we hold no record for is left out rather than filled in.
Frequently asked questions
Answered from the data on this page — nothing here is written by hand.
How much is Charizard (Base Set 2 #4) worth?
Charizard (Base Set 2 #4) is worth $264 based on daily market prices (94 distinct sales) on Hoshino. Typical range: $161–$350 (raw/ungraded).
Where can I buy or sell Charizard (Base Set 2 #4)?
You can find Charizard (Base Set 2 #4) on Hoshino, with live listings on eBay (US) and recent solds from PokéPriceTracker, eBay (US), Tradera, eBay CA. Each listing links directly to the seller’s page.
What is the graded value of Charizard (Base Set 2 #4)?
Graded values for Charizard (Base Set 2 #4): BGS 8 — $514; BGS 9 — $1,673; CGC 5 — $300; CGC 8 — $540; CGC 9 — $1,150; PSA 3 — $290; PSA 5 — $320; PSA 6 — $342; PSA 7 — $425; PSA 8 — $678. Each tier is priced on its own sales — Hoshino never mixes a PSA 10 with a raw copy.
Is Charizard (Base Set 2 #4) going up or down in price?
Charizard (Base Set 2 #4) is trending up in price. 30-day change: +7%. 1-year change: +71%. Based on live market data tracked on Hoshino.
How many Charizard (Base Set 2 #4) have been graded?
Across PSA and CGC and BGS and BGS BL and SGC, 29,522 copies of Charizard (Base Set 2 #4) have been professionally graded, based on population reports tracked on Hoshino.
What is the PSA 10 population of Charizard (Base Set 2 #4)?
PSA has graded 70 copies of Charizard (Base Set 2 #4) as Gem Mint 10, according to population reports tracked on Hoshino.
What does Charizard (Base Set 2 #4) do?
Charizard (Base Set 2 #4) is a 120 HP Fire-type card (Stage2). Its attack is Fire Spin (100 damage). It is weak to Water (×2). Illustrated by Mitsuhiro Arita.
📛 Get the price badge
Embeddable price badges for Charizard — pick the look, copy, paste. Live global data no US-only rival can show.
Drop any of these into a listing, blog or forum signature. Each shows the live number with its honest basis — real market price with sale-count provenance, or a clearly labelled guide estimate — and updates as new sales land (cached 1 hour). Add ?theme=light for light backgrounds.
Track Charizard in your portfolio — free
Live value across every market we track, grade-EV on your exact copy, and alerts the second the price moves.